- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | truT | Max
The Cleveland Guardians (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Monday, October 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:38pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Guardians are 95-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 85-81 ATS.
Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Alex Cobb 2-2, 3.32 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 16-10, 4.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -115 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -105 | -160 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 27 games (+33.80 Units / 125% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 49 games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+19.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 49 games (+15.09 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.05 Units / 87% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+18.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 166 games (+11.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 109 games (+18.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 132 games (+12.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+3.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 84-82 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 2.33% ROI).
- 95-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 5.37% ROI
- 71-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.55 Units / -11.79% ROI
- 84-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 3.15% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 85-81 against the Run Line (+8.45 Units / 4.26% ROI).
- 97-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 87-73 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.15 Units / 3.35% ROI
- 73-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.4 Units / -12.3% ROI
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb (CLE) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (572/955) against Alex Cobb since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (447/1,082) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (452/1,119) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (304/521) against Alex Cobb since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (129/387) against Carlos Rodon this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (165/474) against Carlos Rodon this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (461/1,531) against Carlos Rodon this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 88th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 34% (121 SO in 354 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians are 25-31 (.446) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Guardians are 65-9 (.878) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 48-10 (.828) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees are 35-20 (.636) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Yankees are 79-23 (.775) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 275-211 (.566) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,444 strikeouts in 13,061 PA’s (19%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (459/12,023) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 333 walks in 2,976 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 495 walks in 4,525 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (1428.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .236 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.67 (4344.0 IP) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Yankees vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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