- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Guardians / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | truT | Max
The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Tuesday, October 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:38pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Guardians are 95-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 86-81 ATS.
Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 12-8, 3.43 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 9-5, 3.38 ERA
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | O 7 -110 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 7 -110 | -175 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 28 games (+32.80 Units / 117% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+13.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 50 games (+11.80 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+19.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.05 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 50 games (+14.09 Units / 28% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+19.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 167 games (+10.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 110 games (+17.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 133 games (+13.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+4.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 84-83 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 1.6% ROI).
- 95-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 4.88% ROI
- 71-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.55 Units / -12.27% ROI
- 85-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 3.67% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 86-81 against the Run Line (+9.75 Units / 4.89% ROI).
- 98-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -3.86% ROI
- 87-74 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 2.79% ROI
- 74-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.4 Units / -11.67% ROI
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee allowed an OBP of just .241 (315 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents batted .398 (35-for-88) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 11th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since last season is 383.8 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
18 of Tanner Bibee’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — 6th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 91st Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .575 (736 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has walked 60 of 747 batters (8%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 17th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .105 (29 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .655 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .260 (735 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 95th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 90-26 (.776) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Guardians are 219-6 (.973) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Guardians are 187-19 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Guardians are 40-174 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 79-23 (.775) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 122-36 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 161-47 (.774) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Yankees are 63-74 (.460) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (459/12,023) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters drew 672 walks in 6,245 PA’s (11%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 333 walks in 2,976 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (2120.0 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Yankees vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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