- The Mariners are -105 favorites vs the Astros
- Mariners vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-115) on Saturday, May 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 29-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 27-24 ATS.
Mariners vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 5-1, 2.66 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 3-4, 3.61 ERA
Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -125 | -105 |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 +105 | -115 |
Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+15.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+12.90 Units / 322% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bryan Woo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.45 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+21.30 Units / 213% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+19.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 74% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+9.42 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games (+7.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 26-24 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 3.51% ROI).
- 29-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 27-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 6.85% ROI
- 21-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.02 Units / -16.32% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 27-24 against the Run Line (+4.77 Units / 7.34% ROI).
- 26-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -6.77% ROI
- 21-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -17.44% ROI
- 28-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 8.42% ROI
Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has not walked any of the 81 batters that they have faced when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has a first-pitch in-zone of 67% (148/222) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (16/58) against Bryan Woo in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Bryan Woo has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (389/645) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 42% of his pitches inside (302/710) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 41% of his pitches inside (1,071/2,598) in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mariners are 91-17 (.843) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Mariners are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Mariners are 173-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .958.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 17-7 (.708) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Astros are just 1-79 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .214 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mariners hitters slugged just .219 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
The Astros are batting .338 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .405 (247 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 2.83 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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