Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Mariners vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Mariners / Athletics TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA

The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+135) on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Mariners are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 30-32 ATS.

Mariners vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 3-3, 3.32 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 1-1, 6.20 ERA

Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +110O 8 -110-160
Athletics +1.5 -130U 8 -110+135

Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+18.90 Units / 94% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.75 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • JJ Bleday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games at home (+19.20 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+15.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 54 games (+2.05 Units / 4% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 31-31 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -4.05% ROI).

  • 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 3.18% ROI
  • 22-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.15 Units / -27.4% ROI
  • 37-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.2 Units / 17.9% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 30-32 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -9.84% ROI).

  • 24-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -6% ROI
  • 28-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -9.37% ROI
  • 31-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.73% ROI

Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Dominic Canzone (SEA) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Andujar (OAK) 0.5 -275 0.5 +210
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Josh Rojas (SEA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
J.P. Crawford (SEA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Dominic Canzone (SEA) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Logan Gilbert (SEA) 6.5 +100 6.5 -135
Joey Estes (OAK) 5.5 +135 5.5 -175

Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of just 8% (4 SO in 51 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .196 (9-for-46) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — 95th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has thrown his slider 44% of the time (321/728) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has induced opposing hitters to ground into 9 double plays in 41 opportunities (22%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/33) against Joey Estes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/33) against Joey Estes over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Joey Estes has a strike rate of 74% (133/180) over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (4/24) against Joey Estes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 96-15 (.865) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

The Mariners are 164-6 (.965) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Mariners are 56-9 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

The Mariners are 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Athletics are just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Athletics are just 39-78 (.333) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Athletics are just 39-72 (.351) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.

Mariners hitters have 11 extra-base hits out of 60 total hits (just 18%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .178 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,775 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Athletics are batting just .148 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

The Athletics are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.18 (1034.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (290.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Mariners pitchers have walked 3 of 114 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 570 of 8,214 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.61 (949.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.