Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 5

Athletics' Lawrence Butler reacts after hitting a single against the Kansas City Royals during the first inning of a spring training baseball game Monday, Feb. 24, 2025, in Surprise, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Mariners are -115 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Mariners vs Athletics Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Mariners / Athletics TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA | MLBN

The Seattle Mariners (-115) visit Sutter Health Park to take on the Oakland Athletics (-105) on Monday, May 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:05pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

This season, the Mariners are 20-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are ATS.

Mariners vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 2-3, 3.60 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Severino 1-3, 3.28 ERA

Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +145O 9 -118-115
Athletics +1.5 -180U 9 -102-105

Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 18-15 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 8.74% ROI).

  • 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 8.5% ROI
  • 19-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 10.65% ROI
  • 12-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -16.95% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +250 0.5 -325
Brent Rooker (ATH) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Shea Langeliers (ATH) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Lawrence Butler (ATH) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jacob Wilson (ATH) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
J.P. Crawford (SEA) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Shea Langeliers (ATH) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Brent Rooker (ATH) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Shea Langeliers (ATH) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Brent Rooker (ATH) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Miller (SEA) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Luis Severino (ATH) 4.5 -118 4.5 -110

Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .233 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .204 (156-for-763) against Bryce Miller since last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 94th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .254 (704 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .179 (17-for-95) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .269 — 95th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of .334 (338 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — fourth Percentile.

Luis Severino located 40% of his pitches inside (800/2,025) in non-two strike counts in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .192 (60-for-313) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 96th Percentile.

Luis Severino allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (55 Total Bases / 96 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — fourth Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 2-11 (.154) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .039.

The Mariners are 71-7 (.910) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .809.

The Mariners are 136-20 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Mariners are 88-1 (.989) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 138-220 (.384) since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 34-86 (.283) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Mariners (21st best runs scored) today.

The Athletics are just 46-107 (.299) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Mariners (first best runs allowed) today.

The Athletics were just 25-43 (.362) after a win in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The Mariners are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Mariners are batting just .218 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Athletics batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Athletics batted just .118 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Athletics batted just .223 in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.