- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN1 | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+105) on Saturday, April 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Mariners are 10-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 16-4 ATS.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 1-1, 2.38 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-1, 5.17 ERA
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -102 | -125 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -170 | U 8 -118 | +105 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+16.60 Units / 237% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 away games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 19 games (+13.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games at home (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 10-10 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 1.92% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -8.01% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -14.32% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 4.99% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-4 against the Run Line (+12.4 Units / 41.96% ROI).
- 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 21.44% ROI
- 7-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -32.1% ROI
- 13-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 23.71% ROI
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ben Williamson (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has struck out 50% (24/48) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .177 (333 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 44% (16 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .231 (885 PA’s) since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (22 Total Bases / 32 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — third Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (22 Total Bases / 32 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .360 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .472 (141 Total Bases / 299 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (323/1,515) against Jose Berrios since last season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Mariners were 18-1 (.947) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Mariners are 11-64 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Mariners are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 2-81 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .187 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Mariners are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners are batting just .149 with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .400 (183 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Blue Jays are batting just .190 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.
The Blue Jays are batting .298 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .229.
The Blue Jays are batting .222 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .163.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .254 (1,623 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .043 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.32 (81.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.48.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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