- The Mariners are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Blue Jays TV Channel: RTNW | RSN1
The Seattle Mariners (-120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+100) on Sunday, April 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Mariners are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 16-5 ATS.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Easton Lucas 2-1, 4.70 ERA
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -120 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | +100 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+15.60 Units / 195% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+12.45 Units / 82% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+8.50 Units / 85% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 83 away games (+15.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games at home (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 11-10 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 7.22% ROI).
- 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -3.92% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -9.31% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-5 against the Run Line (+10.75 Units / 34.46% ROI).
- 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 16.35% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -26.15% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 17.91% ROI
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Donovan Solano (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Easton Lucas (TOR) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 78% of the time (160/205) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .396 (163 Total Bases / 412 ABs) when ahead in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — third Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (264/372) this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/65) against Luis Castillo this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Easton Lucas has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (46/61) this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against Easton Lucas this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Easton Lucas has walked 15% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 46% (28/61) against Easton Lucas on the first pitch of at-bats this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .032.
The Mariners were 10-56 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mariners are 80-1 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 64-7 (.901) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are just 21-114 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners are batting just .211 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .400 (183 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Blue Jays are batting just .198 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters had an OPS of just .653 (1,419 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Blue Jays are batting .224 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .165.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .254 (1,634 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .043 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.32 (81.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.50.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
More MLB Reading:
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