- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Brewers TV Channel: RTNW | BSWI
The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Mariners are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 4-2 ATS.
Mariners vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 0-1, 7.21 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: DL Hall 0-0, 4.91 ERA
Mariners vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -210 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Mariners vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+8.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- Oliver Dunn has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games (+5.70 Units / 142% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+5.45 Units / 91% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 2-6 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -41.88% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -32.04% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 8.52% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -16.48% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 4-2 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 12.81% ROI).
- 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 63.16% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.73% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -3.05% ROI
Brewers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garver | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Haniger | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rodriguez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Moore | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| P. Crawford | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Brewers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miller | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (25/66) against Bryce Miller with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed a just .315 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 93rd Percentile and .558 vs left-handed batters last season (sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .234 (282 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (780/1,122) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
DL Hall has not struck out any hitters in 15 PA’s against right-handed batters this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
DL Hall has a strikeout rate of just 5% (1 SO in 20 PAs) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (4/28) against DL Hall this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
DL Hall has allowed an OBP of .467 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .305 — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners were 44-7 (.863) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are 141-6 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are 148-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers were 24-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 24-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 47-37 (.560) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have a swing rate of just 52% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 59%.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 53% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 59%.
Brewers hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Brewers hitters are slugging .857 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Brewers hitters have 10 strikeouts in 31 PA’s (32%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 888 of 12,297 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 20 of 305 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.46 (808.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 43 opportunities (2%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.98 runs per game (669/168) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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