- The Mariners are +105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Mariners vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mariners / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Mariners are 33-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 30-36 ATS.
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Evans 3-1, 2.80 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 7-4, 5.54 ERA
Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +160 | O 9 -102 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -210 | U 9 -118 | -125 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+7.70 Units / 77% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 away games (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+13.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 29-36 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -8.89% ROI).
- 33-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -9.21% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 4.5% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.67 Units / -13.45% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 30-36 against the Run Line (-11.01 Units / -13.06% ROI).
- 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -11.42% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -4.65% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -4.09% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alek Thomas (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Logan Evans (SEA) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (36/109) against Logan Evans this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
28% of Logan Evans’ strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (43/241) against Logan Evans this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.
Logan Evans has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 26 opportunities (19%) this season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .462 (202 Total Bases / 437 ABs) on non-fastballs since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — fourth Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .425 (57 Total Bases / 134 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (18/27) against Brandon Pfaadt in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .655 (55 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mariners are 99-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Mariners are 163-13 (.926) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Mariners are 3-26 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Diamondbacks are 61-53 (.535) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Diamondbacks are 159-42 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Diamondbacks are 11-153 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters slugged just .324 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .437.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .337 (6,284 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .264 (2,031 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 47% of the time since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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