Mariners vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 11:02 AM

The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit Scottsdale Stadium to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Tuesday, February 27, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Scottsdale, AZ.

Last season, the Mariners were 0-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants were 1-2 ATS.

Mariners vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Mariners+110
Giants -130

Mariners vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Marco Luciano has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Mariners went 1-1 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Giants went 1-2 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -27.78% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -75.9% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 32.26% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -37.14% ROI

George Kirby walked 19 of 757 batters (3%) in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby had a strike rate of 71% (2,002/2,825) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby threw fastballs 65% of the time (607/934) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby had a strike rate of 70% (330/471) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Hicks threw 423 fastballs at 100+ MPH in the 2023 season — most among in NL — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Hicks threw 563 fastballs at 100+ MPH in the 2023 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (21/28) against Jordan Hicks when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among in NL; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 40% (281/705) against Jordan Hicks in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Mariners were 64-13 (.831) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.

The Mariners were 76-2 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Giants are 130-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Giants are 31-32 (.492) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

The Giants were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 3.42 (744.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 130 double plays in 1,059 opportunities (12%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Giants vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
  • Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
  • Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.