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- Mariners vs Giants Over / Under today: Runs
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The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Saturday, April 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Mariners are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 6-1 ATS.
Mariners vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 0-1, 4.77 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 1-0, 5.07 ERA
Mariners vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | + + | O + | +105 |
| Giants | + + | U + | -125 |
Mariners vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+15.50 Units / 221% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+10.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+22.80 Units / 326% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.30 Units / 106% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.95 Units / 99% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.40 Units / 91% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+20.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 away games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 53 away games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 121 games (+8.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 75 games (+8.02 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 72 of their last 130 games (+6.08 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 3-5 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -17.55% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -34.63% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -39.89% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 33.14% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 6-1 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 64.74% ROI).
- 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 66.06% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 36.84% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -46.15% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .233 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .231 (324 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 96th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .239 (339 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 96th Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OPS of just .592 (704 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 93rd Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has a strike rate of just 54% (36/67) in non-two strike counts this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Robbie Ray has allowed a BABIP of .077 this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .269 — 96th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a strike rate of just 57% (16/28) when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 11th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (28/67) in non-two strike counts this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 93rd Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mariners were just 66-16 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Mariners were just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are just 16-26 (.381) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 49-32 (.605) at home in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Giants are 136-4 (.971) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants were just 20-24 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mariners (21st best runs scored) today.
The Giants are 23-139 (.142) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Giants are 11-144 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .205 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .211 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .307 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .232 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 81 of 1,515 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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