- The Mariners are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Mariners vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mariners / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Mariners are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 31-19 ATS.
Mariners vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 2-0, 0.58 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-5, 6.34 ERA
Mariners vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | O | ||
| Nationals | U |
Mariners vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 64.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+13.20 Units / 120% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+9.40 Units / 85% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+28.90 Units / 193% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+12.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 71% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 games (+1.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 42 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 42 games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.35 Units / 41% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 25-28 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -10.32% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 19-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -25.97% ROI
- 31-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.6 Units / 16.57% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 31-19 against the Run Line (+9.63 Units / 14.88% ROI).
- 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 14.26% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -17.48% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.78 Units / 8.63% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 76% (118/156) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OPS of just .114 (27 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .473 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (1,213/1,666) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (5-for-38) against Bryan Woo — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .230 — 95th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .325 (195-for-600) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .403 (31-for-77) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .328 (113-for-345) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .662 (51 Total Bases / 77 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mariners are 54-9 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Mariners are 79-45 (.637) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Mariners are 49-6 (.891) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Mariners are 160-6 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .569.
The Nationals are just 142-195 (.421) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 70-114 (.380) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Nationals are just 24-43 (.358) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging just .387 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .527 (385 PA’s) on the road this month (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
The Nationals are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 131 of 1,889 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .245 (466 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Mariners pitchers have walked 122 of 1,921 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 552 of 7,895 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .360 (1,871 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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