- The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Mariners / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | RTNW | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Mariners are 25-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 22-21 ATS.
Mariners vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 4-3, 3.20 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 3-2, 2.69 ERA
Mariners vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -165 | O 7 -105 | +125 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +140 | U 7 -115 | -150 |
Mariners vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+12.70 Units / 127% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 30 games (+29.70 Units / 99% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+16.40 Units / 66% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+14.70 Units / 92% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 34 games (+5.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+4.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 23-23 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -4.03% ROI).
- 25-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.66% ROI
- 15-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -31.49% ROI
- 28-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +11 Units / 21.89% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 22-21 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 10.69% ROI).
- 28-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 7.06% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 2.86% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -11.17% ROI
Orioles vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 9 of 358 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 1 of 98 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (279/386) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 12 of 360 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (190/300) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (42/65) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 61% of the time (183/300) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (27/38) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are 93-15 (.861) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Mariners are 159-6 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 166-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 53-9 (.855) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 27-30 (.474) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Orioles are 42-23 (.646) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 69-11 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners have scored first in 100% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have 466 strikeouts in 1,673 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .511 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .854 (527 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Orioles hitters are slugging .439 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Orioles hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 136 total hits (42%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .233 (408 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Mariners pitchers have walked 537 of 7,651 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 984 of 13,637 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 221 of 3,289 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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