- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: BSSW | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 12-13 ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 1-4, 4.35 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-2, 6.36 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -120 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | U 9 +100 | -105 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+2.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 84 of their last 154 games (+20.88 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 154 games (+15.28 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 11-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 6-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 16-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 12-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo’s K:BB ratio is 17.0 (17/1) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.6 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (35 Total Bases / 58 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — first Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (28 Total Bases / 44 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .170 (25-for-147) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/67) against Andrew Heaney on inside fastballs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (15/34) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (340/626) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 88-13 (.871) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Mariners are 27-21 (.562) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Mariners are 149-6 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Mariners are 48-7 (.873) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 2-150 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 147-24 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Rangers are 58-44 (.569) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Rangers are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .156 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have 1,378 strikeouts in 5,268 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .486 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,709/13,285 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .349 (3,554 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .340 (1,839 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 56 of 868 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 924 of 12,860 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 107 of 1,670 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 477 of 6,874 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 100 of 941 batters (11%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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