- Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: BSSW | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (+130) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-155) on Monday, March 18, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Surprise, AZ.
This season, the Mariners are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 10-10 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +130 |
| Rangers | -155 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 7-6 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 2.98% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.96 Units / -30.23% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.51 Units / 31.23% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -41.31% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 10-10 against the Run Line (-0.32 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.51 Units / -6.22% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.57 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.41 Units / 6.32% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth-best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season (tied for sixth-worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed a just .315 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth-best)– 93rd Percentile and .558 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season (sixth-worst among non-qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.
Bryce Miller had a strike rate of 71% (460/648) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller threw fastballs 70% of the time (770/1,102) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 84-13 (.866) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mariners are 83-27 (.755) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 75-51 (.595) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters struck out 422 times in 1,624 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters pulled 50% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .567 (3,336 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .346 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners allowed 3.86 runs per game (313/81) at home in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
- Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out
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