- The Red Sox are -180 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Red Sox TV Channel: RTNW | NESN | MLBN
The Seattle Mariners (+150) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-185) on Thursday, April 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Mariners are 13-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 13-13 ATS.
Mariners vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 2-1, 3.12 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 2-1, 1.13 ERA
Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -105 | +150 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +118 | U 8 -115 | -185 |
Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.85 Units / 87% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+13.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+11.95 Units / 120% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.60 Units / 215% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 13-11 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 8.25% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.5% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 3.22% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -12.48% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 13-13 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.3% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -7.73% ROI
- 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -14.61% ROI
- 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 6.77% ROI
Red Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Red Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Red Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (7/38) against Bryan Woo this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Bryan Woo has a strike rate of 70% (248/353) this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (5/30) against Bryan Woo this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .150 (6-for-40) against Garrett Crochet when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .241 — 95th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has allowed an OPS of just .439 (123 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .696 — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has allowed a slugging percentage of just .150 (6 Total Bases / 40 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .410 — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet had a strikeout rate of 41% (50/123) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Mariners are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .033.
The Mariners are 159-3 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are just 18-27 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Red Sox are 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Mariners (21st best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .187 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Mariners are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.30 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .258 (1,660 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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