- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: RTNW | YES
The Seattle Mariners (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Mariners are 26-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 27-22 ATS.
Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 1-0, 0.93 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-1, 2.49 ERA
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Dominic Canzone has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+11.10 Units / 101% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+11.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+15.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.99 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 24-24 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -5.04% ROI).
- 26-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -1.26% ROI
- 17-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -26.27% ROI
- 28-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 16.56% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 27-22 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 13.36% ROI).
- 33-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 14.52% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -17.82% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 9.13% ROI
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (1,159/1,589) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.1 innings pitched — Ryan Yarbrough has the longest active streak at 18.1.
Bryan Woo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike 74% (312/421) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo had a strike rate of 76% (60/79) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has struck out 34% (34/101) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has walked 9 of 81 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (45/143) against Clarke Schmidt this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (19-for-51) against Clarke Schmidt when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — third Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 159-6 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 55-43 (.561) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Mariners are 17-15 (.531) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Mariners are 12-148 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 54-52 (.509) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Yankees are 23-18 (.561) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 115-70 (.622) at home since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Yankees are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have 486 strikeouts in 1,745 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have 530 strikeouts in 2,056 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .452 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .795 (1,369 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Yankees hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .518 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 120 of 1,721 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 988 of 13,713 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 541 of 7,727 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .238 (425 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Yankees pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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