- The Angels are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Angels TV Channel: FDW | FDFL
The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-150) on Friday, May 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 19-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 23-26 ATS.
Marlins vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-6, 8.00 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 0-4, 3.52 ERA
Marlins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -120 | +125 |
| Angels | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 +100 | -150 |
Marlins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 85% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 7 games (+7.65 Units / 86% ROI)
- Connor Norby has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+23.40 Units / 234% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.90 Units / 124% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+12.35 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.22 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+7.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 25-23 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 0.43% ROI).
- 19-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -5.27% ROI
- 29-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 14.5% ROI
- 19-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.6 Units / -24.16% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 23-26 against the Run Line (-11 Units / -16.26% ROI).
- 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 9.8% ROI
- 28-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.07 Units / 11.21% ROI
- 20-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.47 Units / -19.51% ROI
Angels vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Angels vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Angels vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Angels vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Sandy Alcantara (MIA) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (932/1,301) against right-handed batters in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (21-for-49) against Sandy Alcantara with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has had second base stolen on him 16 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a swing rate of 56% (733/1,301) against Sandy Alcantara in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his slider 55% of the time (115/208) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 96th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 12% of right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 60% of the time (125/208) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .229 (16-for-70) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 56-13 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Marlins are just 11-3 (.786) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Angels are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Angels were just 32-49 (.395) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Angels were just 39-59 (.398) after a loss in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters grounded into 158 double plays in 1,125 opportunities (14%) in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Angels on 1% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 0%.. *
Angels hitter’ K:BB ratio is 7.1 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.7.
Angels hitters have struck out in just 8% of it’s PA’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 6.30 (168.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 601 of 6,147 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 12% of batters over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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