- The Braves are -235 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Braves TV Channel: FDFL | FDSO | FDSE | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+200) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Friday, April 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Marlins are 4-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 2-5 ATS.
Marlins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 0-0, 1.59 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -110 | +200 |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -110 | -250 |
Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+18.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Max Meyer has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Griffin Conine has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 games (+5.45 Units / 182% ROI)
- Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 95% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 70 games (+18.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 78 away games (+14.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+14.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 73 of their last 135 games (+13.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 150 games (+39.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 34.27% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 21.38% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 7.59% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -17.33% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 2-5 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -49.22% ROI).
- 0-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -28.76% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 22.44% ROI
Braves vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Braves vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Meyer has a strike rate of just 49% (17/35) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Max Meyer has thrown his slider 69% of the time (24/35) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Max Meyer has thrown his slider 43% of the time (25/58) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Max Meyer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 17th, 2024 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed an OBP of just .150 (20 PA’s) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .269 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 94th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed a slugging percentage of just .056 (1 Total Bases / 18 ABs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 96th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed an OBP of just .221 (330 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 99th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Braves (15th best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Braves are 65-55 (.542) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
The Braves are 117-75 (.609) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Braves are 46-38 (.548) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Marlins (29th best runs allowed) today.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Marlins had a winning percentage of just 37% at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .477 against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The Marlins have allowed 5.92 runs per game (521/88) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.21 (819.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers walked 85 of 1,447 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Marlins vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
