- The Dodgers are -300 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Dodgers TV Channel: FDFL | SNLA | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+230) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-295) on Monday, April 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 12-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 14-13 ATS.
Marlins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 0-1, 6.01 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May 1-1, 3.69 ERA
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -115 | +230 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -105 | -295 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 70.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dane Myers has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 away games (+7.90 Units / 158% ROI)
- Edward Cabrera has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Dane Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 85% ROI)
- Dane Myers has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 90% ROI)
- Dane Myers has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 50% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 14-13 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -3.21% ROI).
- 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 8.94% ROI
- 18-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.7 Units / 25.62% ROI
- 9-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -36.97% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 14-13 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 4.26% ROI).
- 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 4.23% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 3.75% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -10.34% ROI
Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dustin May (LAD) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 14% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 44 of 283 batters (15%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 16% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 19 of 106 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (21/36) against Dustin May this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (9/52) against Dustin May with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed an OBP of just .114 (44 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 99th Percentile.
Dustin May has thrown his slider 52% of the time (63/122) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total SL; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 53-12 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Marlins are just 24-49 (.329) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Marlins are just 46-16 (.742) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 183-33 (.847) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 26-14 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 90-46 (.662) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters averaged just 3.72 pitches per plate appearance against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Dodgers are batting .367 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .778 (7,293 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins have allowed 6.36 runs per game (70/11) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
The Marlins have allowed 5.90 runs per game (572/97) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 6.48 (93.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 3.49 (743.0 IP) at home in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
More MLB Reading:
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