- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Dodgers TV Channel: FDFL | SNLA | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 12-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 14-14 ATS.
Marlins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara 2-2, 6.56 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Ben Casparius 3-0, 2.91 ERA
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -110 | +165 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -110 | -200 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.90 Units / 272% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+16.25 Units / 325% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+8.80 Units / 66% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+2.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 15-13 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.28% ROI).
- 12-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 5.18% ROI
- 19-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.7 Units / 27.93% ROI
- 9-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -39.24% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 14-14 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 5.79% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 6.77% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -13.42% ROI
Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara (MIA) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 71% (560/787) in two strike counts in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .353 (53-for-150) against Sandy Alcantara with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (28/100) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 47% (200/426) against Sandy Alcantara with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (19/59) against Ben Casparius this season — 15th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 14th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has walked 2% of right-handed batters this season — 12th best among among 106 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 89th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has a strike rate of 69% (139/203) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 15th highest among among 102 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 86th Percentile.
Ben Casparius has allowed an OPS of just .368 (50 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .657 — 92nd Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 53-12 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Marlins are just 24-49 (.329) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 183-33 (.847) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins are just 6-20 (.231) against the run line (-57.4% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (2,084 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
The Marlins have allowed 5.90 runs per game (572/97) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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