- The Mariners are -275 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Mariners TV Channel: FDFL | RTNW
The Miami Marlins (+220) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-275) on Friday, April 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Marlins are 11-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 14-11 ATS.
Marlins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 1-2, 8.31 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 1-1, 2.64 ERA
Marlins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -110 | +220 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -125 | U 7.5 -110 | -275 |
Marlins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 67.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Mervis has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+16.70 Units / 186% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.05 Units / 111% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.50 Units / 181% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 52% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 12-12 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -7.24% ROI).
- 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 8.42% ROI
- 15-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 17.41% ROI
- 9-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -28.29% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 14-11 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 10.96% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 5.5% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.91% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -8.35% ROI
Mariners vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Mariners vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Luke Raley (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Mariners vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (MIA) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 8.5 +110 | 8.5 -145 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of 1.263 (42 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .692 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .333 (592 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .500 (42 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .380 (27-for-71) against Cal Quantrill this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .184 (342 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has struck out 47% (30/64) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 38% (41 SO in 108 PAs) this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .215 (507 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 52-12 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mariners are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The Mariners are 66-7 (.904) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Mariners are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Mariners were 72-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Marlins are just 2-13 (.133) against the run line (-67.3% ROI) as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .187 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .257 (1,669 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
More MLB Reading:
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