- The Nationals are -185 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | BSFL
The Miami Marlins (+150) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-185) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Marlins are 55-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 82-65 ATS.
Marlins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Adam Oller 1-3, 5.27 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 8-12, 4.31 ERA
Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+6.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games at home (+14.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 69-79 against the Run Line (-31.76 Units / -16.44% ROI).
- 55-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 79-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.2 Units / 6.85% ROI
- 62-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.85 Units / -14.71% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 82-65 against the Run Line (+6.38 Units / 3.3% ROI).
- 66-81 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 1.59% ROI
- 69-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 70-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.82 Units / -4.18% ROI
Nationals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Andrés Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Nationals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Tena (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Dylan Crews (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Andrés Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Oller (MIA) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Oller has a strike rate of just 59% (102/173) this month (2 games) — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.
Adam Oller has walked 4 of 23 left-handed batters (17%) this month (2 games) — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 11th Percentile.
Adam Oller has walked 8 of 49 batters (16%) this month (2 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Adam Oller has thrown breaking pitches 52% of the time (42/81) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (135/436) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (287/1,005) against MacKenzie Gore since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .364 (47-for-129) against MacKenzie Gore when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .260 — second Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has allowed an OBP of .438 (146 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Marlins are just 21-18 (.538) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Marlins are just 6-22 (.214) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Marlins are just 16-18 (.471) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Marlins are just 54-93 (.367) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Nationals are just 36-57 (.387) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 37% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .294 (4,544 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 322 strikeouts in 1,609 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .301 (1,564 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Nationals have barrels in 4% of PA’s this season (214/5,464) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.14 (697.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins have allowed 5.84 runs per game (438/75) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have struck out just 20% of left-handed batters they faced since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
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