- The Rays are -180 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Rays TV Channel: FDFL | FSUN | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+118) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Friday, June 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Marlins are 23-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 31-31 ATS.
Marlins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 2-1, 4.17 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 5-5, 3.86 ERA
Marlins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -115 | +118 |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -105 | -145 |
Marlins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+18.10 Units / 181% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+13.40 Units / 89% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.35 Units / 65% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 37% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 30-30 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -4.51% ROI).
- 23-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -11.81% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 3.89% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -13.98% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 31-31 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.26% ROI).
- 33-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.33 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 23-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.8 Units / -24.37% ROI
- 36-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.3 Units / 16.73% ROI
Rays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Rays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -285 | 0.5 +210 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 12% of right-handed batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 23 of 171 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (106/151) against Edward Cabrera on non-fastballs in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 15% of opponent 1-2-3 hitters since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 74% (213/286) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (10/93) against Zack Littell on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 2% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 27-56 (.325) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Marlins are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Marlins are just 58-14 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rays are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 16-151 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 175-6 (.967) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rays are 99-72 (.576) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.72 (222.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins have allowed 5.96 runs per game (155/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 61 double plays in 387 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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