- The Rays are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Rays TV Channel: FDFL | FSUN
The Miami Marlins (+135) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-160) on Saturday, June 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Marlins are 23-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 31-32 ATS.
Marlins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 1-1, 2.49 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 4-5, 3.93 ERA
Marlins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -170 | O 8.5 -105 | +135 |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -115 | -160 |
Marlins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.40 Units / 360% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+6.70 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+16.30 Units / 181% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 78% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+10.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 31-30 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -3.1% ROI).
- 23-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -13.16% ROI
- 33-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 28-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -12.25% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 31-32 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -1.03% ROI).
- 34-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.33 Units / 2.98% ROI
- 23-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -25.66% ROI
- 37-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.3 Units / 17.94% ROI
Rays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rays vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (25/50) in his last two starts — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (420/1,410) against right-handed batters since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 7% (9/133) against Ryan Weathers on inside fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 15% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (356/1,431) against Ryan Weathers since the 2023 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fifth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (11/89) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (168/291) this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 10th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .484 (45 Total Bases / 93 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — eighth Percentile.
Taj Bradley allowed a slugging percentage of 1.014 (72 Total Bases / 71 ABs) when he was behind in the count in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .622 — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Marlins are just 58-14 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rays are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Rays are 16-151 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 20-1 (.952) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .812.
The Rays are 36-138 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters had 149 extra-base hits out of 547 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had an OBP of just .299 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.60 (230.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
The Marlins have allowed 5.89 runs per game (159/27) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (1063.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 61 double plays in 392 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Marlins vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
