- The Marlins are -110 favorites vs the White Sox
- Marlins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Marlins / White Sox TV Channel: FDFL | CHSN
The Miami Marlins (-110) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-110) on Saturday, May 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Marlins are 14-23 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 21-18 ATS.
Marlins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 0-1, 6.29 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 1-2, 2.41 ERA
Marlins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +154 | O 8 +100 | -110 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -120 | -110 |
Marlins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+28.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+8.80 Units / 126% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 15% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games at home (+6.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.90 Units / 98% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 18-19 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -5.81% ROI).
- 14-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -7.86% ROI
- 25-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.45 Units / 27.83% ROI
- 12-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -38.26% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 21-18 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 3.54% ROI).
- 11-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -26.54% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -2.32% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -6.68% ROI
White Sox vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
White Sox vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
White Sox vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Edgar Quero (CWS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Smith (CWS) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 14% of batters versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 13% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 19 of 109 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (63/82) against Edward Cabrera’s changeup in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Smith has a in-zone of 30% (82/270) against right-handed batters this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Smith has thrown his fastball in the zone 32% (87/270) of the time this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Smith has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (11 Total Bases / 55 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — 95th Percentile.
Shane Smith has a in-zone of 38% (44/116) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 47-16 (.746) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The White Sox are just 42-25 (.627) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The White Sox are just 21-80 (.208) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 17-41 (.293) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have put 43% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .441 (7,064 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The White Sox won just 41% of games in which they have scored first in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 69%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .281 (7,286 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 7.33 runs per game (110/15) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.50.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 7.41 (126.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Marlins pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 73% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox allowed 1.70 runs per game (275/162) in late innings in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
More MLB Reading:
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