- The Marlins are -150 favorites vs the White Sox
- Marlins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / White Sox TV Channel: FDFL | CHSN
The Miami Marlins (-150) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+125) on Friday, May 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Marlins are 14-22 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 20-18 ATS.
Marlins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 2-3, 3.96 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 0-1, 5.56 ERA
Marlins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -120 | -150 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 +100 | +125 |
Marlins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Max Meyer has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+9.80 Units / 163% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+8.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 14% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games at home (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 18-18 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -3.7% ROI).
- 14-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -4.28% ROI
- 24-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.45 Units / 26.13% ROI
- 12-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.35 Units / -36.61% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 20-18 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 1.37% ROI).
- 10-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -30.53% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -4.76% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -4.33% ROI
White Sox vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
White Sox vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Javier Sanoja (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
White Sox vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
White Sox vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Bryse Wilson (CWS) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (52/138) against Max Meyer this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 40% (40/101) against Max Meyer this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Max Meyer has thrown his slider 67% of the time (115/173) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Max Meyer has walked 17% of batters versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .462 (115 Total Bases / 249 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OPS of .759 (274 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .478 — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (93 Total Bases / 205 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson allowed a slugging percentage of .709 (39 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on breaking pitches in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .336 — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 47-16 (.746) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Marlins are just 24-51 (.320) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 87-39 (.690) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The White Sox are just 96-13 (.881) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 41-25 (.621) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (13,231 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (9,971 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .618 (5,870 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 7.53 (118.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
The Marlins have allowed 7.43 runs per game (104/14) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Marlins pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers had a strike rate of just 62% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
More MLB Reading:
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