- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Astros TV Channel: FOX
The New York Mets (+105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Saturday, March 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Mets are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 0-0 ATS.
Mets vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mets vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -220 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
Mets vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Griffin Canning has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.60 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.40 Units / 106% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Griffin Canning has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 3 away games (+3.20 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 116 games (+22.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 117 games (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 73 of their last 134 games (+11.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 89 away games (+6.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+3.77 Units / 11% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+16.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 124 games (+14.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 105 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 90 games (+8.25 Units / 6% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Astros vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Astros vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has a strikeout rate of just 34% (130 SO in 377 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Griffin Canning had a strikeout rate of just 13% (17/132) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti allowed an OBP of .428 (243 PA’s) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti walked 23 of 176 batters (13%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 23 of 176 batters (13%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 21 of 137 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are just 15-67 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets were 74-22 (.771) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2024 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2024 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2024 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2024 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 45-39 (.536) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Mariners (21st best runs scored) today.
The Astros are just 12-23 (.343) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of .764 (1,687 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Mets hitters are slugging .436 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Mets batted .283 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are slugging .492 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,751/12,430 PA’s) since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 595 of 6,168 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 123 of 1,462 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have walked 263 of 2,874 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers walked 544 of 6,019 batters (9%) in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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