- The Braves are -160 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Mets / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | SNY
The New York Mets (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Mets are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 4-6 ATS.
Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 0-1, 2.62 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Allan Winans 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -145 | O 9.5 -105 | +135 |
| Braves | -1.5 +120 | U 9.5 -115 | -160 |
Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units / 97% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.70 Units / 110% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+6.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 90 of their last 156 games (+20.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -26.17% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -27.41% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -12.81% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 4.55% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -18.83% ROI).
- 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 7.52% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 43.64% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -51.36% ROI
Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Duvall | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Lindor | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ozuna | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Olson | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nimmo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Riley | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ozuna | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marte | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Olson | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ozuna | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lindor | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Duvall | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Winans | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Quintana | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (104/187) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (94/168) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (104/187) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 51% (26/51) in two strike counts this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mets are just 12-65 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Mets are 155-2 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Braves are 33-47 (.412) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 47-42 (.528) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 14-49 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 15 strikeouts in 102 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters are slugging just .287 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .802 (9,562 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .398 (294 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 638 of 6,522 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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