- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Mets / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | SNY | MLBN
The New York Mets (+165) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Mets are 3-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 4-4 ATS.
Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Julio Teheran 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -115 | O 10 -110 | +165 |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | U 10 -110 | -200 |
Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 69% ROI)
- Luis Guillorme has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.15 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+7.35 Units / 147% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -51.43% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -40.64% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -36.22% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 26.5% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 4-4 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 17.27% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 32.18% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -39.89% ROI
Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Olson | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lindor | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Baty | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Marte | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bader | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Morton | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
| Teheran | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (1,319/2,939) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (1,458/4,133) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 36% of the time (253/706) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 43% of the time (1,227/2,842) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mets are just 6-40 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are just 11-64 (.147) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Braves are 32-46 (.410) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 47-41 (.534) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 26-31 (.456) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have put 47% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .575 (342 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .649 (68 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.037.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters are slugging .709 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Braves hitters are slugging .473 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 629 of 6,441 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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