Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

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Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 19, 2024, 11:04 AM
  • The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Mets / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNY | MLBN

The New York Mets (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Mets are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 9-12 ATS.

Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 1-1, 4.40 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1-1, 4.41 ERA

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -125O 8.5 -115+165
Dodgers -1.5 +105U 8.5 -105-200

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+12.95 Units / 118% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chris Taylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 10-8 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 19.76% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 5.69% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.85% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -5.22% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 9-12 against the Run Line (-4.94 Units / -20.24% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -16.42% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.32 Units / 14.26% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -21.29% ROI

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (37/180) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 8th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (222/453) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has a strike rate of just 53% (37/70) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (73/252) against Sean Manaea since last season — tied for 6th highest among in NL; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 26% of the time (16/62) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (49/146) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has struck out 35% (11/31) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (54/184) in non-two strike counts this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Mets are just 16-27 (.372) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Mets are just 21-28 (.429) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 150-14 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.

The Dodgers are 199-32 (.861) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 84-37 (.694) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Dodgers are 27-9 (.750) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

Mets hitters are slugging .460 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .380.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .812 (247 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .692.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .364 (247 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Mets are batting .288 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (9,571 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 22 double plays in 399 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .340 (9,571 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Mets pitchers have walked 160 of 1,575 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 933 of 12,667 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.