Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Mets / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNY | MLBN

The New York Mets (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Mets are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 9-12 ATS.

Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 1-1, 4.40 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1-1, 4.41 ERA

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -125O 8.5 -115+165
Dodgers -1.5 +105U 8.5 -105-200

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+12.95 Units / 118% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chris Taylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 10-8 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 19.76% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 5.69% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.85% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -5.22% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 9-12 against the Run Line (-4.94 Units / -20.24% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -16.42% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.32 Units / 14.26% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -21.29% ROI

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (37/180) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 8th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (222/453) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has a strike rate of just 53% (37/70) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (73/252) against Sean Manaea since last season — tied for 6th highest among in NL; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 26% of the time (16/62) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (49/146) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has struck out 35% (11/31) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (54/184) in non-two strike counts this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Mets are just 16-27 (.372) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Mets are just 21-28 (.429) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 150-14 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.

The Dodgers are 199-32 (.861) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 84-37 (.694) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Dodgers are 27-9 (.750) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

Mets hitters are slugging .460 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .380.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .812 (247 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .692.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .364 (247 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Mets are batting .288 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (9,571 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 22 double plays in 399 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .340 (9,571 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Mets pitchers have walked 160 of 1,575 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 933 of 12,667 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.