Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 20

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Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani prepares to bat during the third inning of a spring training baseball game against the Chicago White Sox in Phoenix, Tuesday, Feb. 27, 2024. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 20, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Mets / Dodgers TV Channel: FS1 | WPIX

The New York Mets (+150) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Mets are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 9-13 ATS.

Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Jose Butto 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -125O 9.5 -105+150
Dodgers -1.5 +105U 9.5 -115-185

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jose Quintana has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tyler Glasnow has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 11-8 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 23.2% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 12.64% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.22% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -10.35% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 9-13 against the Run Line (-5.94 Units / -23.38% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -19.99% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.32 Units / 17.76% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -25.03% ROI

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +225 0.5 -275
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

The last hit on a Jose Butto fastball was April 4th. Hitters are 0 for their last 22 in ABs ending on his fastball. — Yimi Garcia has the longest active streak at 25.

Jose Butto has induced opposing hitters to ground into 2 double plays in 6 opportunities (33%) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .128 (5-for-39) against Jose Butto this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 98th Percentile.

Jose Butto has allowed a slugging percentage of just .179 (7 Total Bases / 39 ABs) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Gavin Stone versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (12/27) against Gavin Stone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (43/130) against Gavin Stone this season — tied for 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.

Gavin Stone has allowed an OBP of .433 (30 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .318 — seventh Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are just 36-51 (.414) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Mets are just 12-66 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.

The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Mets are just 7-128 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.

The Dodgers are 199-32 (.861) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 27-9 (.750) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Dodgers are 84-37 (.694) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

Mets hitters are slugging .462 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .380.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .962 (165 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .826 (291 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .364 (291 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 22 double plays in 399 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (9,583 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.44 (110.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.

Mets pitchers have walked 79 of 736 batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have walked 163 of 1,584 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.