Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 13

Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani prepares to bat during the third inning of a spring training baseball game against the Chicago White Sox in Phoenix, Tuesday, Feb. 27, 2024. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
  • The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Mets / Dodgers TV Channel: FOX

The New York Mets (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Sunday, October 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Mets are 94-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 84-83 ATS.

Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 1-0, 3.69 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 13-8, 3.30 ERA

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -160O 8 -105+135
Dodgers -1.5 +135U 8 -115-160

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Francisco Alvarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+16.30 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+15.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+14.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+12.65 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+28.50 Units / 356% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+15.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 110 games (+24.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 111 games (+20.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 86 away games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 away games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 away games (+4.62 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 85 games (+23.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 57 games (+8.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 89-80 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 3.14% ROI).

  • 94-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.9 Units / 5.09% ROI
  • 86-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.05% ROI
  • 78-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.35 Units / -8.33% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 84-83 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -1.87% ROI).

  • 101-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -2.37% ROI
  • 92-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.05 Units / 8.74% ROI
  • 69-92 when betting on the total runs Under for -32.2 Units / -17.48% ROI

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jose Iglesias (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kodai Senga (NYM) 2.5 -110 2.5 -120

Kodai Senga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .276 (82 Total Bases / 297 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .205 (128-for-624) against Kodai Senga since last season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 95th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has allowed an OPS of just .746 (159 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1.078 — 100th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .325 (203 Total Bases / 624 ABs) since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .410 — 96th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty has walked 9 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (714/1,415) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

17 of Jack Flaherty’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 7th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (393/1,223) against Jack Flaherty this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are 9-61 (.129) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets are 12-52 (.188) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Mets are just 66-14 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Mets are 12-138 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Dodgers are 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 305-144 (.679) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Mets are 9-61 (.129) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .329 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Mets hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Mets hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 770 total hits (37%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (12,588 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Dodgers hitters have 319 extra-base hits out of 802 total hits (40%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (9,041 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Mets pitchers have walked 121 of 1,445 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,362 of 17,930 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (2216.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.

Dodgers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
  • New York Mets – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.