Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

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San Francisco Giants' Michael Conforto against the Texas Rangers during the fourth inning of a baseball game Saturday, Aug. 12, 2023, in San Francisco. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mets / Giants TV Channel: WPIX | NSBA | MLBN

The New York Mets (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Mets are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 10-14 ATS.

Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 2-1, 2.14 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 2-1, 2.94 ERA

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -190O 7.5 -120+110
Giants -1.5 +155U 7.5 +100-130

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-10 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 16.24% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 8.83% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 5.26% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -13.79% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 10-14 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -17.13% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -17.54% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 8.85% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -16.95% ROI

Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200

Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jeff McNeil (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Luis Severino has an ERA of 7.55 (53.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 4.40 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Luis Severino — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .679 (55 Total Bases / 81 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .442 — first Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (97/186) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (28/38) against Logan Webb — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (35/79) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (16/70) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of just 10% (7 SO in 71 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mets are just 3-79 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Mets are 163-2 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Mets are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Mets are 151-14 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Giants are just 36-62 (.367) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Giants are just 20-25 (.444) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Giants are 27-14 (.659) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The Giants are 76-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Mets hitters have just 34 strikeouts in 222 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mets hitters have just 4 strikeouts in 40 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .308 (2,066 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .688 (2,066 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.43 (111.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.

Mets pitchers have walked 34 of 229 batters (15%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have walked 101 of 856 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Giants pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 908 of 12,984 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.