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Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 24

BetMGM Betting Apr 24, 2024, 11:01 AM
min read
FILE -San Francisco Giants third baseman J.D. Davis throws to first to get Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter J.D. Martinez on a ground out during the first inning of a baseball game in Los Angeles, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023. Utilityman J.D. Davis went to a hearing Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2024 asking for a raise from $4.21 million to $6.9 million rather than the San Francisco Giants' $6.55 million offer.(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo, File)
(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)
  • The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mets / Giants TV Channel: SNY | NSBA | MLBN

The New York Mets (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Mets are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 12-13 ATS.

Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 1-1, 4.19 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-3, 11.58 ERA

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -190O 7.5 -120+110
Giants -1.5 +155U 7.5 +100-130

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-11 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 12-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Tom Murphy (SF) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Sean Manaea has walked 8 of 36 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (38/184) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (38/184) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 7th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 29% — seventh Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (77/264) against Sean Manaea since last season — tied for 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has an ERA of 11.57 (11.2 IP)this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 3.94 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (52-for-268) against Blake Snell when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 42 of 311 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .140 (55-for-393) against Blake Snell’s non-fastballs since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mets are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Mets are just 7-131 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Mets are just 3-80 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Mets are just 16-29 (.356) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Giants are 77-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Giants are 27-14 (.659) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Giants are just 36-62 (.367) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Giants are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .739 (9,110 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Mets hitters have just 1,886 strikeouts in 9,110 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Mets have been successful on 62% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .683 (3,351 PA’s) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .741.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .700 (4,951 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Mets pitchers have walked 101 of 889 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.43 (111.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have walked 26 of 205 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Giants pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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