- The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mets / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | SNY | MLBN
The New York Mets () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Mets are 21-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 29-20 ATS.
Mets vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-4, 5.14 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 2-3, 3.21 ERA
Mets vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Mets vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+14.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 47 games (+13.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jose Quintana has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 17 games at home (+30.70 Units / 181% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 away games (+2.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+12.82 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 22-26 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -8.72% ROI).
- 21-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -12.64% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.59% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -7.98% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 29-20 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 19.64% ROI).
- 32-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.82 Units / 20.16% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -5.89% ROI
Guardians vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Guardians vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Guardians vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Adrian Houser (NYM) | 3.5 +160 | 3.5 -210 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has allowed an OPS of 1.000 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .651 — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed an OPS of 1.000 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .630 — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed an OBP of .400 (80 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .283 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed three-ball counts to 32% of batters they faced (51/161 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has walked 14 of 90 right-handed batters (16%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 28 of 199 batters (14%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 14 of 81 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 14 of 81 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mets are just 4-91 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are 169-5 (.971) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mets are just 9-47 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mets are just 8-142 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Guardians are 36-128 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are just 11-17 (.393) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 20-71 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Guardians are 25-135 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting just .228 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Mets are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .531 (219 PA’s) against LHP this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
The Mets have won just 40% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,848 strikeouts in 10,141 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .250 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 31% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 55 of 433 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 195 of 1,845 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 210 of 1,858 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 15 of 108 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 4 of 177 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.80 runs per game (39/49) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Guardians vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Mets vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
