- The Mets are -190 favorites vs the Marlins
- Mets vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | SNY | MLBN
The New York Mets (-190) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+155) on Monday, March 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Mets are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 3-1 ATS.
Mets vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -115 | -190 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -105 | +155 |
Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 103% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.20 Units / 173% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.15 Units / 61% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 116 games (+22.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 117 games (+16.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 73 of their last 134 games (+11.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 89 away games (+6.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+3.77 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 78 games at home (+28.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 70 games (+18.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 2-1 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -1.64% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -33.33% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -100% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 98.36% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 52.94% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -6.52% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.38% ROI
Marlins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (MIA) | 3.5 -118 | 3.5 -110 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson allowed a BABIP of .377 in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 173 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Opponents are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against David Peterson in close and late situations since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (69/125) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (168 SO in 553 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .329 (553 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (116/248) of left-handed hitters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of .707 (553 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .510 — 0 Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mets were just 65-13 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Mets are just 15-67 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Twins (11th best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 26-20 (.565) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Marlins were just 9-7 (.562) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have 4 extra-base hits out of 6 total hits (67%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Mets are batting just .136 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have 4 extra-base hits out of 6 total hits (67%) against RHP this month (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins had a winning percentage of just 37% at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 599 of 6,199 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 265 of 2,882 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 1,190 of 12,283 batters (10%) since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (790.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins have allowed 5.92 runs per game (503/85) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
More MLB Reading:
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