- The Mets are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Mets vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Mets / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | SNY
The New York Mets (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Saturday, April 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Mets are 18-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 13-13 ATS.
Mets vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 2-1, 3.16 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Brad Lord 0-2, 4.85 ERA
Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -120 | -175 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | U 9.5 +100 | +145 |
Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+14.70 Units / 147% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units / 98% ROI)
- Luis Torrens has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+13.90 Units / 199% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+10.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+9.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+9.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+7.75 Units / 69% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 14-12 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 7.29% ROI).
- 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 18.16% ROI
- 8-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -37.89% ROI
- 17-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.2 Units / 28.98% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 13-13 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -4.64% ROI).
- 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -7.34% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.17% ROI
Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Torrens (NYM) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes (NYM) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Brad Lord (WAS) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -165 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Clay Holmes has a strikeout rate of 38% (17 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Clay Holmes has allowed an OPS of just .177 (58 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (16/42) against Brad Lord this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Brad Lord has thrown fastballs 79% of the time (172/219) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (17/97) against Brad Lord this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Brad Lord has allowed a BABIP of .480 against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .287 — third Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mets are 12-1 (.923) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .608.
The Mets are 6-1 (.857) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 61-91 (.401) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Nationals are just 37-57 (.394) on the road since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Nationals are just 80-95 (.457) at home since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .182 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .149 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 92% at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 92% at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Nationals hitters had an OBP of just .285 (819 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have struck out in just 11% of it’s PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (223.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.66 (105.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
