- The Mets are -102 favorites vs the Twins
- Mets vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | SNY
The New York Mets (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Monday, April 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Mets are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-9 ATS.
Mets vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 1-1, 4.30 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 1-1, 2.70 ERA
Mets vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -120 | -105 |
| Twins | +1.5 -200 | U 8 +100 | -115 |
Mets vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+18.70 Units / 312% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.50 Units / 270% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.80 Units / 82% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 176 games (+15.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 away games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 92 of their last 176 games (+2.85 Units / 1% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 82 of their last 176 games (+2.77 Units / 1% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 82 games at home (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 85 of their last 162 games (+2.91 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -8.64% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 12.5% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -49.7% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 41.05% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-9 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -5.15% ROI).
- 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -41.85% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -15.86% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 7.69% ROI
Twins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Twins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Twins vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes (NYM) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 75% (56/75) against Clay Holmes in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (54/77) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (58/88) against Clay Holmes in two-strike counts since last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (116/178) against Clay Holmes since last season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has not walked any of the 64 batters that he has faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan’s has 13 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.3 — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan’s has 15 strikeouts and no walks this season — best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.1 — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has not walked any of the 40 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets are 13-57 (.186) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Mets are 45-32 (.584) after a loss since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Twins are just 16-33 (.327) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Twins are just 2-4 (.333) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .029.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .632 against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.
Mets hitters have an OPS of 1.063 (44 PA’s) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .660.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .432 (44 PA’s) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .139 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .121 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .177 (124 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Twins hitters have 9 extra-base hits out of 14 total hits (64%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .366.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.30 (133.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Mets pitchers in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Twins pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 204 of 3,039 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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