- Get expert MLB playoff betting predictions for the Mets vs. Phillies NLDS matchup.
- The Mets are -120 to win Wednesday’s Game 4.
- New York is -250 to advance to the NLCS.
The New York Mets are one win away from reaching the NLCS after securing a 7-2 victory over the Philadelphia Phillies during Tuesday’s Game 3 at Citi Field.
Pete Alonso and Jesse Winker clubbed solo homers for the Mets in the win. Sean Manaea held the Phillies to one run across seven innings.
New York is now -250 to win the NLDS, though Wednesday’s Game 4 is a toss-up.
Here is a look at the latest MLB postseason odds for Mets vs. Phillies and my best bet ahead of Game 4:
MLB Playoff Odds – Mets vs. Phillies
- Mets Moneyline: -120
- Phillies Moneyline: +100
- Over/Under: 7.5 (-105/Under -115)
- Series Price: Mets (-250)/Phillies (+200)
Mets vs. Phillies Schedule, Pitchers, TV Info
| Game | Date/Time | Mets SP | Phillies SP | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 4 | Wednesday at 5:08 p.m. ET | José Quintana | Ranger Suárez | FS1 |
| Game 5 | Friday at 4:08 p.m. ET | TBD | TBD | FS1 |
Mets vs. Phillies NLDS Prediction, Game 4 Best Bet
Best bet: Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Walks (+100)
I bet on Phillies’ Bryce Harper recording a walk in the first two games of this series when both props were listed at a plus-money price. But I passed at the minus odds in Game 3.
After not earning a walk in Tuesday’s loss, Harper is +100 to record a walk in Game 4. That price provides enough of an edge to place this wager again.
Harper recorded four walks in the first two games against the Mets, who are the latest team to pitch him carefully in the postseason due to his clutch hitting. Harper earned 13 free passes in as many games during last year’s playoff run.
I wouldn’t pay more than -105 for this prop, but there is a chance that this is the last opportunity to cash this ticket.
Mets vs. Phillies: Betting Stats
- New York Mets 2024 Moneyline Record: 93-75
- New York Mets 2024 Over/Under Record: 86-77
- Philadelphia Phillies 2024 Moneyline Record: 96-69
- Philadelphia Phillies 2024 Over/Under Record: 81-75
Mets vs. Phillies 2024 Season Series
| Date | Location | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct. 8 | Citi Field | Mets 7, Phillies 2 |
| Oct. 6 | Citizens Bank Park | Phillies 7, Mets 6 |
| Oct. 5 | Citizens Bank Park | Mets 6, Phillies 2 |
| Sept. 22 | Citi Field | Mets 2, Phillies 1 |
| Sept. 21 | Citi Field | Mets 6, Phillies 3 |
| Sept. 20 | Citi Field | Phillies 12, Mets 2 |
| Sept. 19 | Citi Field | Mets 10, Phillies 6 |
| Sept. 15 | Citizens Bank Park | Phillies 2, Mets 1 |
| Sept. 14 | Citizens Bank Park | Phillies 6, Mets 4 |
| Sept. 13 | Citizens Bank Park | Mets 11, Phillies 3 |
| June 9 | Citizens Bank Park | Mets 6, Phillies 5 |
| June 8 | Citi Field | Phillies 7, Mets 2 |
| May 16 | Citi Field | Mets 6, Phillies 5 |
| May 15 | Citi Field | Phillies 10, Mets 5 |
| May 14 | Citizens Bank Park | Phillies 4, Mets 0 |
| May 13 | Citizens Bank Park | Phillies 5, Mets 4 |
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