Nationals vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

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Oakland Athletics' Brent Rooker scores on a double by Aledmys Diaz off Pittsburgh Pirates relief pitcher Rob Zastryzny during the eighth inning of a baseball game in Pittsburgh, Monday, June 5, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2024, 12:43 PM
  • The Athletics are -130 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Nationals / Athletics TV Channel: MASN | NSCA

The Washington Nationals (+110) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (-130) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Nationals are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 8-5 ATS.

Nationals vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 0-1, 5.91 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Nationals vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -190O 8 -115+110
Athletics -1.5 +155U 8 -105-130

Nationals vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Athletics will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+16.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+11.00 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+6.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+5.55 Units / 111% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 75 away games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 6-6 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -13.1% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 5.39% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -4.58% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -5.26% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 8-5 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 6.49% ROI).

  • 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -3.08% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 3.91% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -12.67% ROI

Athletics vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Gallo (WAS) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Seth Brown (ОАК) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
JJ Bleday (OAK) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Ryan Noda (OAK) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Athletics vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Abrams (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Seth Brown (ОАК) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Luis Garcia (WAS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Athletics vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seth Brown (ОАК) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Joey Gallo (WAS) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
JJ Bleday (OAK) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Athletics vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Blackburn (OAK) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135
Jake Irvin (WAS) 5.5 +110 5.5 -145

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (19/41) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (108/545) against Jake Irvin since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (14/44) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (33/79) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Blackburn has allowed an OPS of just .301 (47 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among in AL; League Avg: .646 — 97th Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has allowed an OPS of just .301 (47 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 99th Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has not allowed a runner to reach base (23 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 23 AB’s against Paul Blackburn with two-strikes this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .157 — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Nationals are just 21-38 (.356) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Nationals are just 40-174 (.187) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Nationals are just 65-43 (.602) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Nationals are just 48-82 (.369) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.

The Athletics are just 90-63 (.584) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Athletics are just 32-74 (.299) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Athletics are just 83-24 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .869.

The Nationals are batting just .057 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.

Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals hitters are slugging just .066 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .225.

Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Athletics are batting just .212 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Athletics are batting just .225 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,068 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
  • Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.