Nationals vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 13

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(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 13, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Nationals are -135 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Nationals vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Nationals / Athletics TV Channel: MAS2 | NSCA

The Washington Nationals (-135) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+110) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Nationals are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 8-5 ATS.

Nationals vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 1-0, 4.09 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Joe Boyle 1-1, 8.22 ERA

Nationals vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals-1.5 +135O 8 -105-135
Athletics +1.5 -160U 8 -115+110

Nationals vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+16.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+11.00 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+6.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+6.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+5.55 Units / 111% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 74 away games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 6-6 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -13.1% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 5.39% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -4.58% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -5.26% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 8-5 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 6.49% ROI).

  • 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -3.08% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 3.91% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -12.67% ROI

Athletics vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Gallo (WAS) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
J.D. Davis (OAK) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Zack Gelof (OAK) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Athletics vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Abrams (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Luis Garcia (WAS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Athletics vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Gallo (WAS) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
C.J. Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Athletics vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mackenzie Gore (WAS) 6.5 -135 6.5 +100
Joe Boyle (OAK) 5.5 -115 5.5 -115

Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (8/15) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has walked 33 of 273 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (22/47) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (73/195) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Joe Boyle had a strike rate of just 49% (43/87) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Joe Boyle has walked 7 of 26 left-handed batters (27%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Joe Boyle has a strike rate of just 49% (43/87) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Joe Boyle has a strike rate of just 51% (65/128) in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Nationals are just 21-38 (.356) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Nationals are just 40-174 (.187) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Nationals are just 48-82 (.369) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.

The Athletics were just 29-82 (.261) after a loss in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Athletics are just 32-74 (.299) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Athletics are just 27-61 (.303) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Nationals hitters are slugging just .077 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.

Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .643 (9,052 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (12,341 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Athletics are batting just .211 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 22 of 127 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 165 of 1,550 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
  • Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.