- The Blue Jays are -170 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Nationals / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on Monday, March 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Nationals are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 2-2 ATS.
Nationals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Nationals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -150 | O 8 +100 | +145 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -120 | -175 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+14.20 Units / 473% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 games (+5.30 Units / 177% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 121% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games (+3.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+3.60 Units / 97% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+16.50 Units / 412% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.95 Units / 72% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.90 Units / 94% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 154 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games at home (+16.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -41.25% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -26.67% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 26.47% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -34.38% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 2-2 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 28.75% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -7.92% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 45.98% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -50.56% ROI
Blue Jays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Michael Soroka (WSH) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka has walked 44 of 347 batters (13%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Mike Soroka has walked 27 of 201 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Mike Soroka has walked 27 of 172 left-handed batters (16%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of 42% (34 SO in 81 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis allowed a BABIP of .212 in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .247 (543 PA’s) since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has thrown his fastball for a strike 75% (637/845) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 60% of Bowden Francis’ fastballs (506/845) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 56-85 (.397) after a win since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Nationals are just 45-80 (.360) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 142-184 (.436) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 27-44 (.380) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Blue Jays are just 20-110 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Blue Jays were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters have 17 strikeouts in 39 PA’s (44%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Blue Jays batted .272 against LHP in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .352 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .480 (25 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 34% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (4 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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