- The Braves are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: MASN | FDSO | FDSE
The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Monday, May 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 17-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 17-22 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 2-1, 4.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 2-3, 4.58 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | +150 |
| Braves | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | -185 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+10.55 Units / 211% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.65 Units / 91% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.55 Units / 72% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+8.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 54% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.10 Units / 41% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+2.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-21 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -11.1% ROI).
- 17-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -7.25% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 3.31% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -11.54% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 17-22 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -11.02% ROI).
- 19-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -13.66% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -14.17% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 6.01% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +130 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has allowed a just .264 SLG vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 94th Percentile and .518 vs left-handed batters this season (sixth worst among qualified SPs)– ninth Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (286/726) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has a in-zone of 43% (52/122) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (75/196) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grant Holmes has allowed a .500 SLG vs right-handed batters (seventh worst)– seventh Percentile and just .300 vs left-handed batters this season (ninth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .706 (12 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Grant Holmes has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters he faced (46/163 PA’s) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.
Grant Holmes has allowed an OBP of .397 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .293 — sixth Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 16-21 (.421) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Nationals are just 158-206 (.433) since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 34-53 (.386) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 4-17 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .081.
The Braves are 125-86 (.592) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Braves are 73-60 (.549) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Nationals (25th best runs scored) today.
The Braves were 35-31 (.530) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters had an OPS of just .658 (1,796 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 43% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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