- The Braves are -180 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: MASN | FDSO | FDSE
The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-170) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 17-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 18-24 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 3-3, 3.95 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 2-2, 4.98 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -105 | +140 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -115 | -170 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 20-23 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -12.43% ROI).
- 17-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.47 Units / -14.23% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -3.52% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -4.4% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 18-24 against the Run Line (-6.52 Units / -13.09% ROI).
- 21-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.18 Units / -12.9% ROI
- 16-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -19.98% ROI
- 23-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 12.09% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Amed Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has walked 19% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has walked 19% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 27% (26 SO in 96 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has a strikeout rate of just 13% (26 SO in 197 PAs) this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has a in-zone of 19% (98/521) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has thrown his breaking pitches in the zone 19% (98/521) of the time since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has thrown his off-speed pitches in the zone 35% (110/315) of the time this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has a first-pitch in-zone of 36% (58/160) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 87-117 (.424) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 151-181 (.453) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Nationals are just 16-23 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are just 9-42 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Braves are 168-11 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Braves are 23-126 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Braves are 23-15 (.605) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Braves hitters slugged .509 at home in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have allowed 2.28 runs per game (98/43) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.36.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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