- The Braves are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSO
The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 24-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 25-26 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 2-5, 3.79 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 4-2, 3.36 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -115 | +200 |
| Braves | -1.5 -130 | U 8.5 -105 | -250 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 69.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+26.90 Units / 158% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+13.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+16.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 44 games (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.35 Units / 63% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 37 games (+19.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 38 games (+4.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.99 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 32-20 against the Run Line (+9.53 Units / 14.24% ROI).
- 24-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 15.14% ROI
- 22-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -13.29% ROI
- 27-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.58 Units / 4.48% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 25-26 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.96% ROI).
- 30-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -3.46% ROI
- 18-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -28.12% ROI
- 31-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.2 Units / 19.77% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has walked 1 of 106 right-handed batters (1%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Jake Irvin has walked 9 of 232 batters (4%) this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (150/681) against Jake Irvin since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (107/165) against Max Fried this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (85/126) against Max Fried this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (42/62) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .405 (183 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .655 — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Nationals are just 54-94 (.365) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Nationals are just 24-44 (.353) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 45-86 (.344) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 49-48 (.505) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 34-58 (.370) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 17-63 (.212) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .115 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .388 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Nationals hitters have just 1,110 strikeouts in 5,604 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .497 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .818 (8,188 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Braves hitters are slugging .566 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .380 (989 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .360 (1,889 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,214 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Braves vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
