- The Braves are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSO | ESPN+
The Washington Nationals (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 24-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 26-26 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 3-4, 3.04 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -105 | +135 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -115 | -160 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+26.90 Units / 158% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+13.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+13.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+17.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+14.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 27 games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+11.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 away games (+4.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 38 games (+20.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 39 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.99 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 32-21 against the Run Line (+8.53 Units / 12.56% ROI).
- 24-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 13% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -14.78% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.58 Units / 6.09% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 26-26 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 2.65% ROI).
- 31-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -2.28% ROI
- 18-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.65 Units / -29.39% ROI
- 32-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.2 Units / 21.09% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -165 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (122/226) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 37% (41/112) against MacKenzie Gore this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (38/112) against MacKenzie Gore this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (47/143) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
The Nationals are just 24-44 (.353) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 16-27 (.372) after a home win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 45-87 (.341) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 49-48 (.505) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 34-58 (.370) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 17-63 (.212) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging just .387 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Nationals hitters have just 1,936 strikeouts in 9,658 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .622 (571 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Nationals hitters have just 864 strikeouts in 4,386 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .473 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters are slugging .461 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters are slugging .464 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Braves have an average Exit Velocity of 90.8 MPH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .354 (3,312 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH (1,235 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (1,235 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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