- The Diamondbacks are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FS1 | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-200) on Saturday, May 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Nationals are 27-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 25-32 ATS.
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 1-3, 5.62 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 7-3, 3.94 ERA
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -110 | +165 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -110 | -200 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+22.90 Units / 458% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+11.00 Units / 138% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+10.30 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 31-26 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.34% ROI).
- 27-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.83 Units / 6.42% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -2.16% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -6.03% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 25-32 against the Run Line (-12.21 Units / -16.56% ROI).
- 27-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -14.4% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -6.34% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -2.65% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Soroka (WAS) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka has walked 5 of 108 batters (5%) this season — tied for 12th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP– 93rd Percentile. He walked 44 of 347 batters (13%) last season — fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (10/76) against Mike Soroka this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Mike Soroka walked 13% of batters in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Mike Soroka has thrown 60% of his pitches in the strike zone (251/415) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .681 (32 Total Bases / 47 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of 1.058 (53 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .652 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (18/27) against Brandon Pfaadt in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .623 (48 Total Bases / 77 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — third Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are just 54-88 (.380) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 84-104 (.444) at home since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 167-212 (.439) since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 160-185 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are 89-22 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Diamondbacks are 58-50 (.537) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Diamondbacks are 17-71 (.191) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a in-zone of just 48% this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 47% of the time since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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