Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 17, 2024, 3:01 PM
  • The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Nationals / Dodgers TV Channel: MAS2 | SNLA

The Washington Nationals (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Nationals are 7-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 9-11 ATS.

Nationals vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 0-1, 4.32 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Nationals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 +100O 9.5 +100+180
Dodgers -1.5 -120U 9.5 -120-225

Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 69.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • MacKenzie Gore has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jake Irvin has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jake Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Riley Adams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • MacKenzie Gore has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+13.35 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tyler Glasnow has hit the Strikeouts Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 74 away games (+9.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 10-7 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 8.8% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 11.82% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -10.22% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.53% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 9-11 against the Run Line (-3.79 Units / -16.29% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -11.65% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.42 Units / 19.93% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -26.92% ROI

Dodgers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +185 0.5 -225
Joey Gallo (WAS) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
C.J. Abrams (WAS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Dodgers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
C.J. Abrams (WAS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Dodgers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Joey Gallo (WAS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Dodgers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Jake Irvin has a strikeout rate of 47% (7 SO in 15 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of just 20% (102/502) against Jake Irvin in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Irvin has a strike rate of just 60% (148/247) this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.

Jake Irvin has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (24/48) of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 26% of the time (16/62) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (49/146) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (54/184) in non-two strike counts this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (79/282) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 92nd Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Nationals are just 41-66 (.383) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Nationals are just 21-38 (.356) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Nationals were just 13-20 (.394) after a home win in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Nationals are just 127-181 (.412) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Dodgers were 45-17 (.726) after a loss in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Dodgers are 199-31 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Dodgers are 51-19 (.729) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

The Dodgers were 87-10 (.897) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .566 (243 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) against the run line (-49.2% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (9,541 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Dodgers have scored 551 runs in late innings since the 2022 season — most in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 22 double plays in 398 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .357 (2,992 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Dodgers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
  • Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.