Nationals vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 8

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San Francisco Giants' Michael Conforto against the Texas Rangers during the fourth inning of a baseball game Saturday, Aug. 12, 2023, in San Francisco. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 08, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Giants are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Nationals / Giants TV Channel: MASN | NSBA

The Washington Nationals (+180) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-225) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Nationals are 3-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 4-6 ATS.

Nationals vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 1-0, 3.38 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Nationals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -115O 8 -115+180
Giants -1.5 -105U 8 -105-225

Nationals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 away games (+10.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.35 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+11.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 79 away games (+12.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.93 Units / 44% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 4-5 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -23.75% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -20.44% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 5.03% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -15.74% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 4-6 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -31.44% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -18.39% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 35.48% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -42.86% ROI

Giants vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yastrzemski 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Gallo 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Meneses 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600
Vargas 0.5 +1200 0.5 -3000
Lipscomb 0.5 +1350 0.5 -5000

Giants vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Williams 3.5 -135 3.5 +105
Snell 6.5 -105 6.5 -125

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (175/521) against Trevor Williams on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Trevor Williams threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (619/1,221) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams has a strike rate of just 51% (267/521) on sliders since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Trevor Williams threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (335/660) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted just .181 (115-for-636) against Blake Snell in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell walked 99 of 742 batters (13%) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

24 of Blake Snell’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .102 (39-for-381) against Blake Snell with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Nationals are just 21-38 (.356) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Nationals are just 40-173 (.188) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Nationals are just 46-81 (.362) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Giants are just 17-34 (.333) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.

The Giants are 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants were 22-13 (.629) after a home loss in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Giants were just 16-31 (.340) after a road loss in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Nationals hitters struck out just 809 times in 4,217 PA’s (19%) against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Nationals hitters have just 856 strikeouts in 4,421 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Nationals are batting just .064 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .161.

The Giants are batting just .048 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .161.

The Giants are batting just .151 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .358 (2,923 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
  • Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.